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Saturday, September 8, 2007

Chinese Stock Market Crash - What is Taking So Long?

Many stock market technical analysts will tell you that the Chinese stock market is a bubble and they will also tell you that it is ready to burst. Of course even a technical analyst does not have much to go by as there are very few charts which show similarities with 10% year-over-year growth. Nevertheless judging by technical charts of stock markets in other emerging nations the Chinese stock market looks like it is ready to crash.

Recently former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan stated that he believed the Chinese stock market was completely overbought and it was looking for a sharp fall. That very same day in defiance the Chinese stock market went roaring up. Some might say this would show how wrong Greenspan was, however we all know that at the very top of any stock market there is an rational frenzy of buying.

If we look at all the major stock market crashes we see this same scenario. So where is the Chinese stock market today and is it really going to crash and when it dies many of us will say what took it so long? Is the Chinese stock market a good long-term play? It very well may be after the big crash. How far down it goes no one will know, but as it stands now it looks very toppy.

As the traders, companies and even the Chinese government deny that the stock market is in trouble, technical analysts warn that the end is near and the crash is coming. The question now is how much will the stock market fall and what will be the date of its collapse?

by:L. Winslow

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